{"id":2835,"date":"2017-12-06T11:16:15","date_gmt":"2017-12-06T11:16:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bettingdoctor.co.uk\/?p=2835"},"modified":"2017-12-06T11:16:15","modified_gmt":"2017-12-06T11:16:15","slug":"is-narrowing-the-field-the-route-to-profits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bettingdoctor.co.uk\/blog\/is-narrowing-the-field-the-route-to-profits\/","title":{"rendered":"Is narrowing the field the route to profits?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Many moons ago when mobile phones were the size of a brick I had regular contact with a pro-gambling friend who specialised in races with small field sizes, usually less than 8 runners.<\/p>\n

He would then use a process of elimination of each runner based on his own form study to seek out the winner. In short he would narrow the field down to just \u20182\u2019 likely contenders he felt would be in with a shout and then back the one he thought had the greater chance of winning and place a \u2018Saver\u2019 bet \u00a0on the other.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a selection method that made him a lot of money and still does to this day \u00a0I believe, although over recent years I only see him once a year and that once is shortly coming up with our annual Christmas bash. A night when you can bet the word \u2018Betfair\u2019 will be mentioned more than once along with the word Guinness throughout the night!<\/p>\n

Anyway here is the type of race he would consider;<\/p>\n

Non Handicap Races<\/p>\n

8 runners or less<\/p>\n

A max of 4 runners in with a shout based on their price<\/p>\n

He would then put a line through the others leaving just four on his shortlist that he would focus on with laser sharp vision.<\/p>\n

First he would check the day\u2019s going and look for the one \u2018least likely\u2019 to act on that going. This can be done by clicking on the horses name from the Racing Post and checking its previous runnings to see how it has performed.<\/p>\n

Ideally he would look for the one who has failed to win or at least get placed on the day\u2019s going. Ensuring the previous form is evaluated in the same class of race as some may have run in a higher grade that could be a reason for it being unplaced previously so be careful when doing this.<\/p>\n

After filtering out the one least likely to act on the ground he would then be left with just three selections on his shortlist.<\/p>\n

He would next watch the live \u2018Bookmaker\u2019 betting market around five minutes before the actual race off time and look for two that have shown the most positive market moves from their price history.<\/p>\n

Next around two minutes before the start he would place his main wager on the one shortest in price, and a \u2018saver\u2019 bet on the other to cover his stake on the main bet.<\/p>\n

For example – Live betting;<\/p>\n

Horse A = 5\/2 \u2013 2\/1 \u2013 7\/4<\/p>\n

Horse B = 7\/2 \u2013 4\/1 \u2013 9\/2<\/p>\n

Horse C = 5\/1 \u2013 9\/2 \u2013 4\/1<\/p>\n

As you can see above the live betting market shows Horse A & C have positive market moves with Horse B drifting in price and so that would be scrubbed from his shortlist.<\/p>\n

Therefore he would have his main bet on Horse \u2018A\u2019 as that has shown a positive market move and is shortest in price, and the \u2018Saver\u2019 bet on Horse \u2018C\u2019 who has also shown a positive market move.<\/p>\n

Obviously the above is just an example of how he plays and one that works for him. I can imagine once you get a feel for it you could pick these up fairly quickly when looking at the ideal races.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s an example;<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Lalor<\/b>\u00a0\u2013 Versatile and appears a sort that will go on any going<\/p>\n

Kayf Grace<\/b>\u00a0\u2013 Marginally prefers Soft going.<\/p>\n

Mr One More<\/b>\u00a0\u2013 Won both starts on Good & Soft and so GD\/Soft is ideal<\/p>\n

William Hunter<\/b>\u00a0\u2013 Prefers Good but has performed decently on Soft<\/p>\n

Out of the above \u2018Kayf Grace\u2019 is least likely to \u2018act\u2019 well on the day\u2019s going which is a surprise seing as here\u2019s the morning favourite.<\/p>\n

In fact all four have shown decent form on the day\u2019s going which is described as Good\/Soft so this may not be the best example to use. However we will leave \u2018Kayf Grace\u2019 out as the other three have performed slightly better on Good\/Soft.<\/p>\n

Next we wait until the live betting market to open and look out for positive market moves for the three left on our shortlist that are; Lalor, Mr One More, and William Hunter and watch the market until \u20182\u2019 minutes before the race off before we make our move.<\/p>\n

The market showed that Lalor opened at 2\/1 and went 7\/4 and stayed there. Mr One More opened 7\/2 and went into 3\/1 and William Hunter drifted. So we are left with Lalor and Mr One More as our final two for backing. \u00a0Lalor was the shortest price from the two and so the main bet went on that one. The saver bet went on \u2018Mr One More\u2019 at 3\/1. You can dutch the two for equal stake if you wish.<\/p>\n

Here is the result.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

If you placed the same stake on both you would have made a profit, and if you had a saver bet on \u2018Mr One More\u2019 and your main bet on \u2018Lalor\u2019 you would have broke even.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ve played two other races since where my main bet won and another two races were I broke even.<\/p>\n

It appears if could be a nice little angle for those into their form study, especially when used on better races rather than the one above where several performed pretty well on the days Good\/Soft going.<\/p>\n

Above is just the basic strategy my friend started with, nowadays he has added other filters including a \u2018Trainer inform filter\u2019 and also a \u2018course filter\u2019 to see if the selections have performed well at the track previously. He would also add a \u2018first time out filter\u2019 to see which horses run well when fresh.<\/p>\n

This is one of many angles where covering more than one selection in a race can pay dividends if judged and interpreted the right way. Also you can see by adding extra filters the building blocks of a successful selection process can build over time and become more accurate.<\/p>\n

Testing Pod Update:<\/b><\/h4>\n

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)\u2026.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

A better week for this test with profits now standing at a decent +15.14pts.<\/p>\n

Check in daily to see the free selections from this link below:<\/p>\n

https:\/\/bettingdoctor.co.uk\/testing-pod\/testing-pod-area-3\/<\/a><\/p>\n

NEW TEST ALERT!<\/b><\/span>\u00a0\u2013 Race for the Place<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

A new test has started over on Testing Pod Area (1)<\/p>\n

It\u2019s called Race for the Place and aims to win 1pt per day from a maximum of two selections playing in the horse racing place markets.<\/p>\n

Its already +4.75 in profit in just 5 days (Profit after Betfair comm\u2019s at 5%).<\/p>\n

Nip over now to see what it\u2019s all about from the link below;<\/p>\n

https:\/\/bettingdoctor.co.uk\/testing-pod\/testing-pod-horse-racing-strategy\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Many moons ago when mobile phones were the size of a brick I had regular contact with a pro-gambling friend who specialised in races with small field sizes, usually less than 8 runners. He would then use a process of elimination of each runner based on his own form study to seek out the winner. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":2838,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nIs narrowing the field the route to profits? - Betting Doctor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bettingdoctor.co.uk\/blog\/is-narrowing-the-field-the-route-to-profits\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is narrowing the field the route to profits? - Betting Doctor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Many moons ago when mobile phones were the size of a brick I had regular contact with a pro-gambling friend who specialised in races with small field sizes, usually less than 8 runners. 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